India's Economic Momentum: Madan Sabnavis, Madhvi Arora, Sajid Z. Chinoy on GDP Numbers
A panel of expert economists examines India's latest economic momentum and gross domestic product growth print. Madan Sabnavis, Chief Economist at Bank of Baroda, notes that the 7.8% growth figure 'was much beyond our own expectations' while highlighting key risks from inflation, kharif crop performance, and private consumption. Madhvi Arora, Chief Economist at Emkay Global, discusses sequential gains, capital expenditure trends in the micro, small, and medium enterprises segment, and central government interventions during the West Asia crisis. Sajid Z. Chinoy, Managing Director and Chief India Economist at JP Morgan, points to cyclical recovery drivers, energy import diversification, and a boost in export competitiveness. Additionally, Subhash Garg, former Finance and Economic Affairs secretary, raises questions regarding the baseline revisions in current prices nominal gross domestic product and analyses the potential necessity of an interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of India to balance external flows and manage currency differentials.
